Impending Unrest: Insights from Professor David Betz
Professor David Betz, an esteemed educator at King’s College London and advisor to the UK Ministry of Defence, recently shared alarming insights during a podcast discussion, suggesting that British society is on the brink of significant upheaval. He depicted a scenario where societal conditions are “explosively configured” for widespread unrest. Betz pinpointed the onset of this crisis to the political realm’s breach of social trust, particularly when attempts were made to undermine the Brexit referendum outcome.
The Erosion of Legitimacy
In recent years, a profound “erosion of legitimacy” has occurred due to policies implemented by successive governments regarding open borders and their failure to safeguard children against grooming gangs. This period has also seen the rise of a judiciary perceived as politicized and hypocritical.
“If you aim to generate domestic strife within a community,” he stated, “the actions taken by the British government exemplify nearly every step you would take.”
A Nation On Edge
Betz expressed concern that current conditions are “irreversible”, warning that in as little as five years’ time, Britain could face civil disturbances far more intense than those witnessed during last summer’s riots. He characterized modern-day Britain as fragmented and deeply polarized, with certain factions exacerbating these divisions.
The Dangers in Diversity: The Middle Ground
The professor elaborated on how societies characterized by high diversity—those encompassing numerous social and cultural groups without a singular dominant entity—tend not to be prone to civil war. This absence of dominance means no particular group can easily mobilize for widespread revolt. Conversely, uniform societies often reach consensus with ease and are thus less susceptible to conflict.
The real danger lies within communities transitioning towards greater diversity while facing fears from previously dominant groups about losing their status. In such settings arises nativist sentiment embodied in notions referred to by Betz as ’downgrading’ and ‘displacement’—prime catalysts for civil strife. Coupled with long-standing economic downturns and perceived governmental incapacity in providing essential societal goods—what he describes as ‘bread and circuses’—this feeling of dispossession intensifies.
“Asymmetric Multiculturalism” Explained
Betz further investigated ”asymmetric multiculturalism”, whereby preferences for one’s own ethnic or cultural group—including pride within those communities—is acceptable across all demographics except among whites; where it is misconstrued as supremacist behavior detrimental to social cohesion. Such double standards lay fertile ground for grievances among white majorities—or sizeable minorities—that can lead them toward revolt under justifiable terms rooted in claims for equity.
Cover image: Illustration (Photo: AFP)